De Zerbi’s Ultra Roots and Why Spurs Could Be a Different Animal This Season
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There's a story behind every good football bet, and the one forming around Tottenham right now is worth paying close attention to.
Roberto de Zerbi didn't arrive at Spurs carrying a glossy CV built on big budgets and galactico signings. He arrived carrying something harder to quantify but arguably more powerful: a philosophy forged on the terraces of Stadio Mario Rigamonti, soaked into him by a father who ran supporters' clubs and treated football like a religion.
Understand that background, and you start to understand why Tottenham could be a seriously underrated bet across several markets this season.
Born an Ultra, Built to Fight
De Zerbi grew up as a genuine ultra. His father, Alfredo, was one of the leaders of the Brescia tifoseria, running away trips and coordinating the supporters' network. A young Roberto would follow the side home and away, prepare tifos for home matches, and watch training sessions. Football wasn't a hobby in that household. It was oxygen.
That mentality matters when you're picking teams to back. Managers shaped by terrace culture tend to build squads with identity, togetherness and a collective edge. They're not interested in individuals who don't graft. They don't tolerate passengers. And when things get difficult, their teams tend to dig in rather than fold.
We saw that last season at Spurs. De Zerbi took over a club sliding toward relegation and steadied them. That alone tells you about his ability to transfer belief onto a squad.
The Tonali Factor Changes Everything
The Brescia thread runs through the playing squad too, and that matters for how we assess Tottenham this season.
Sandro Tonali joined Brescia aged 12, made his debut at 17, and played a key role in helping them earn promotion back to Serie A. He's a Brescian through and through. De Zerbi says he tracked Tonali's progress as he came through the ranks at their shared boyhood club. This isn't a manager and a player who need time to build a working relationship from scratch. They've got a shortcut most clubs can only dream about.
A £100m midfielder who shares a cultural identity and a football philosophy with his manager is the kind of asset that can genuinely alter how a team functions. Tonali brings intensity, aggression in the press, and a reading of the game that suits de Zerbi's system perfectly. If he hits the ground running, Spurs could be a very different animal to what the market currently expects.
Tottenham's odds for a top-six finish look appealing when you factor in this combination. A manager with clear identity, a marquee signing who fits the system culturally and technically, and a group that spent last season learning exactly what de Zerbi demands.
What the Ultra Philosophy Means in Betting Terms
De Zerbi's football is recognisable. He wants his teams to press high, play through the thirds, and dominate possession. At Brighton, that meant regular high-scoring games. At Marseille, his side produced exciting but occasionally leaky football while operating in a chaotic environment.
At Spurs, with a full pre-season and a group now properly indoctrinated in his ideas, the output could be more consistent. For punters, that points toward a few specific angles worth exploring.
Over 2.5 goals in Tottenham matches has historically been a strong market for entertaining teams with an attacking-minded manager, and de Zerbi's sides almost always play open football. Backing Spurs in both-teams-to-score markets has merit too, at least until their defensive structure proves itself over a sample of games.
For longer-term bets, top-six at current prices makes sense. Top four is a stretch given the quality of City, Arsenal, Liverpool and Chelsea, but not impossible if Tonali settles and de Zerbi builds on last season's platform.
Our Call on Spurs This Season
We think Tottenham are being underestimated right now, and the market hasn't fully priced in how significant the de Zerbi and Tonali combination could be.
The manager's working-class, ultra-forged principles mean he'll demand maximum commitment from every player. He knows exactly what he wants from his teams, and he now has the personnel to deliver it. A full season without a relegation fight to survive changes the dynamic entirely.
Back Spurs for a top-six finish as your primary bet. Layer in over 2.5 goals in their home matches early in the season while their pressing game is at its most aggressive. And keep an eye on Tonali in the assists market. A midfielder with his profile, in a system built around his strengths, could quietly be one of the value picks of the season.
The Brescia connection is more than a feel-good backstory. It's the foundation of something we think is genuinely worth your money.